Microsoft’s much talked Windows Phone 7, set to launch next week, will barely move the needle on the company’s dismal share of the smartphone OS market. According to analysts at Gartner “the release of WinP7 will help bump Microsoft’s share of the worldwide market from 4.7% in 2010 to 5.2% in 2011, but says the company’s share will ultimately decline to just 3.9% by 2014. By then, Microsoft will badly trail virtually every other major mobile OS developer.”
The firm predicts the Symbian OS will continue to lead the market in 2014, with a 30.2% stake, just barely ahead of Google’s Android. Gartner sees Android’s share ballooning to 29.6% by 2014, up from 17.7% in 2010 and just 3.9% in 2009.
Ballmer’s still confident he can turn things around with Windows Phone 7. He said Google’s success is proof that things can change very quickly in the smartphone market — a fact he claimed works in Microsoft’s favor. “The fact that things have been pretty dynamic means that they’re probably still pretty dynamic,” Ballmer said in an interview published Tuesday by The Wall Street Journal.