IDC released some highly specific predictions for the worldwide smartphone market, releasing projections that show Microsoft’s Windows Phone rising to 9.8% market share by 2014, up from 6.8% this year. That would put Microsoft hot on the heels of Apple’s iPhone, which the firm sees declining from 14.7% to 10.9% market share over the same time period.
The firm calls Google’s Android operating system the “wild card,” predicting that its market share will rise to 24.6% in 2014, from its current 16.3%, putting it in the No. 3 position. BlackBerry would stay at No. 2, around 17%, while Symbian is poised to fall from 40% to about 33%, IDC predicts.
DC says it expects smartphone shipments to rise 24.5% in 2011, but the firm then sees the growth rate declining in subsequent years, to the point that it’s increasing just 13.6% in 2014.